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Red187
182537.3
198671.5
392848.3
Blue128
171044.5
93532.2
176432.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171105050150200250300187128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+57Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +43
27Coral scored#17
96Coral points61
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
18Processor points18
20Net points12
38Algae points30
134Total teleop91
Reef
15L4#5
7L3#9
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
187Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.50.7
70.571.3
Auto17.6
Teleop46.6
End7.3
red by 27.0
1710
#21
44.50.6
42.442.9
Auto12.9
Teleop28.7
End3.0
Second
48.30.7
47.348.1
Auto9.2
Teleop30.4
End8.8
red by 15.6
1764
#33
32.70.6
30.631.2
Auto8.6
Teleop22.5
End1.6
Third
1825
#15
37.30.7
36.437.1
Auto9.7
Teleop23.7
End3.9
red by 5.1
935
#9
32.20.6
30.130.6
Auto3.2
Teleop25.0
End4.0