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Red70
177520.1
199726.1
180218.7
Blue89
181031.0
184730.5
512626.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691060501502002507089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+17
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points26
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
54Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
70Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1997
#12
26.10.1
26.026.1
Auto5.9
Teleop17.5
End2.7
blue by 4.8
31.00.0
30.930.9
Auto6.2
Teleop22.1
End2.6
Second
1775
#27
20.10.1
19.920.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End0.4
blue by 10.4
1847
#31
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto7.2
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Third
1802
#25
18.70.1
18.618.7
Auto1.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 8.0
5126
#23
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto7.0
Teleop19.3
End0.4