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Red116
596834.2
328443.9
545433.3
Blue133
171044.5
93532.2
176432.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211166080100140160116133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+19
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
19Coral scored#22
68Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
100Total teleop108
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#8
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
116Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#11
43.90.1
43.843.9
Auto5.6
Teleop36.3
End2.0
blue by 0.6
1710
#21
44.50.6
42.943.6
Auto12.9
Teleop28.7
End3.0
Second
5968
#18
34.20.1
34.034.2
Auto9.2
Teleop23.9
End1.0
red by 1.4
1764
#33
32.70.6
31.231.8
Auto8.6
Teleop22.5
End1.6
Third
5454
#10
33.30.1
33.233.3
Auto6.5
Teleop27.7
End-1.0
red by 1.1
935
#9
32.20.6
30.631.3
Auto3.2
Teleop25.0
End4.0