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Red188
511918.5
580179.8
110857.4
Blue100
941042.0
882529.4
580945.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176126050100150200250188100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+64Teleop
+88Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +50
24Coral scored#13
88Coral points48
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
118Total teleop68
Reef
15L4#7
6L3#5
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#23
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points0
188Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.80.8
78.379.1
Auto18.7
Teleop53.1
End8.0
red by 34.7
5809
#35
45.10.5
46.646.1
Auto14.4
Teleop29.2
End1.5
Second
57.40.8
55.956.7
Auto10.8
Teleop37.1
End9.5
red by 15.4
42.00.5
43.543.0
Auto7.3
Teleop27.4
End7.3
Third
5119
#30
18.50.8
17.017.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
blue by 10.9
8825
#36
29.40.5
30.930.4
Auto3.2
Teleop22.6
End3.5