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Red184
173022.2
642468.1
198777.9
Blue154
182537.3
198671.5
392848.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18416350100200250300184154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+10Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
9Coral scored#7
47Coral points35
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +7
20Coral scored#15
73Coral points54
3Processor algae#5
5Net algae#5
18Processor points30
20Net points20
38Algae points50
111Total teleop104
Reef
13L4#9
5L3#7
8L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
184Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.90.4
76.977.3
Auto18.5
Teleop49.1
End10.4
red by 6.4
71.50.1
71.371.2
Auto17.6
Teleop46.6
End7.3
Second
68.10.4
67.167.5
Auto16.8
Teleop41.2
End10.1
red by 19.8
48.30.1
48.148.0
Auto9.2
Teleop30.4
End8.8
Third
1730
#42
22.20.4
21.221.6
Auto4.2
Teleop15.2
End2.8
blue by 15.1
1825
#15
37.30.1
37.137.0
Auto9.7
Teleop23.7
End3.9