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Red72
941042.0
882529.4
580945.1
Blue136
171044.5
93532.2
176432.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13011605010015020025072136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+70
Endgame+64
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points14
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +67
9Coral scored#24
32Coral points87
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
40Total teleop107
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#12
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#31
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points0
72Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5809
#35
45.11.1
46.145.1
Auto14.4
Teleop29.2
End1.5
red by 0.5
1710
#21
44.50.7
43.644.2
Auto12.9
Teleop28.7
End3.0
Second
42.01.1
43.042.0
Auto7.3
Teleop27.4
End7.3
red by 9.2
1764
#33
32.70.7
31.832.4
Auto8.6
Teleop22.5
End1.6
Third
8825
#36
29.41.1
30.429.4
Auto3.2
Teleop22.6
End3.5
blue by 2.8
935
#9
32.20.7
31.331.9
Auto3.2
Teleop25.0
End4.0