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Red135
17643.3
740765.2
199122.1
Blue75
206434.5
457210.7
23038.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155925020013575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+60Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave0
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points32
37Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +55
19Coral scored#6
68Coral points21
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
12Processor points0
4Net points8
16Algae points8
84Total teleop29
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#4
8L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
135Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.1
65.265.3
Auto20.4
Teleop34.9
End10.0
red by 26.8
230
#11
38.40.2
38.538.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End3.3
Second
176
#8
43.30.1
43.343.4
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End5.2
red by 8.7
34.50.2
34.634.4
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End6.8
Third
1991
#26
22.10.1
22.222.3
Auto4.1
Teleop15.3
End2.7
red by 11.5
4572
#31
10.70.2
10.810.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End1.1