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Red127
17643.3
740765.2
199122.1
Blue95
206434.5
457210.7
23038.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155905010020012795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points35
37Total auto35
TeleoperatedRed +36
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
74Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#5
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +32
2Foul points6
127Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.1
65.365.2
Auto20.4
Teleop34.9
End10.0
red by 26.8
230
#11
38.40.1
38.338.4
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End3.3
Second
176
#8
43.30.1
43.443.3
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End5.2
red by 8.7
34.50.1
34.434.5
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End6.8
Third
1991
#26
22.10.1
22.322.1
Auto4.1
Teleop15.3
End2.7
red by 11.5
4572
#31
10.70.1
10.610.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End1.1