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Red22
574618.2
17725.5
Blue84
888926.8
42924.4
15535.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867702040601001201401602284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+64
Endgame+64
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +19
0Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
3Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +45
3Coral scored#11
9Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
13Total teleop58
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
2Foul points0
22Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#16
25.56.6
35.729.1
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
blue by 9.8
155
#7
35.31.1
25.326.3
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
Second
5746
#22
18.26.6
20.814.2
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End1.1
blue by 8.6
8889
#23
26.81.1
25.326.3
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End0.8
Third
9.71.0
10.211.2
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End3.7
blue by 14.8
429
#12
24.413.7
32.518.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed