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Red84
206434.5
22830.2
1024518.0
Blue21
363418.8
27129.5
1013317.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7363020401001201401608421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+43Teleop
+65Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave0
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points3
18Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +28
7Coral scored#2
26Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
36Total teleop8
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#0
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#3
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points8
84Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.51.0
20.221.2
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End6.8
red by 15.8
3634
#10
18.85.3
16.911.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End3.7
Second
228
#6
30.21.0
25.126.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End7.7
red by 12.6
17.614.1
26.612.5
Auto3.6
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Third
18.00.5
19.318.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.0
red by 8.6
2712
#37
9.55.3
21.215.8
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned