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Red101
356618.7
23038.4
514237.5
Blue132
216831.2
740765.2
83935.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75106050150101132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+23
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
17Coral scored#19
60Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
80Total teleop88
Reef
5L4#9
6L3#7
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
101Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#11
38.42.3
32.935.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End3.3
blue by 26.8
65.23.4
40.944.2
Auto20.4
Teleop34.9
End10.0
Second
5142
#14
37.52.3
23.325.7
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End3.8
red by 1.8
839
#9
35.73.4
22.626.0
Auto5.3
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Third
3566
#20
18.71.4
12.614.0
Auto2.5
Teleop14.7
End1.5
blue by 12.5
2168
#19
31.23.4
26.830.2
Auto4.7
Teleop25.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned