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Red27
107330.8
919313.2
199122.1
Blue91
1059217.2
99929.0
23734.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6081020401001201402791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+50
Endgame+52
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +47
2Coral scored#10
6Coral points37
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
10Total teleop57
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points12
27Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.83.8
14.410.6
Auto4.4
Teleop18.8
End7.6
blue by 4.1
237
#5
34.90.4
23.724.2
Auto6.8
Teleop25.1
End2.9
Second
1991
#26
22.13.8
21.217.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.3
End2.7
blue by 6.9
999
#4
29.00.4
28.028.5
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End3.7
Third
9193
#32
13.23.8
20.016.2
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End4.0
blue by 4.0
17.20.0
18.218.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned