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Red42
37197.7
457210.7
365418.1
Blue57
1013317.6
17643.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60732040801004257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
4Coral scored#4
14Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
24Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points12
42Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#27
18.12.2
21.919.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.7
blue by 25.2
176
#8
43.33.1
37.934.8
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End5.2
Second
4572
#31
10.72.2
17.815.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 6.9
17.63.1
12.59.3
Auto3.6
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Third
3719
#36
7.72.2
12.810.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.8
blue by 2.0
9.73.1
11.28.1
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned