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Red83
585612.4
634624.6
786930.6
Blue88
71617.0
23038.4
22830.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5210201508388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+21Teleop
+7Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
16Coral scored#11
57Coral points41
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
77Total teleop53
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points12
83Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7869
#33
30.62.8
16.419.2
Auto2.0
Teleop29.0
End-0.4
blue by 7.8
230
#11
38.41.7
35.333.5
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End3.3
Second
6346
#13
24.62.8
20.323.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 5.6
228
#6
30.21.7
26.124.3
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End7.7
Third
5856
#34
12.42.8
12.515.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End0.7
blue by 4.6
716
#30
17.01.7
22.020.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned