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Red113
870923.0
740765.2
363418.8
Blue73
23734.9
17725.5
318225.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8887758085909510010511011373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
56Total teleop43
Reef
9L4#4
3L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
6Foul points0
113Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.23.3
45.648.8
Auto20.4
Teleop34.9
End10.0
red by 30.3
237
#5
34.90.5
25.525.0
Auto6.8
Teleop25.1
End2.9
Second
8709
#28
23.03.3
22.025.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End1.2
blue by 2.5
177
#16
25.50.5
29.429.0
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
Third
3634
#10
18.83.3
10.113.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End3.7
blue by 6.6
3182
#21
25.40.5
22.221.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned