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Red66
27129.5
808533.0
109917.3
Blue94
199122.1
514237.5
42924.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64762040601006694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
7Coral scored#16
24Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
44Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#6
2L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
66Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8085
#15
33.00.0
25.625.6
Auto4.3
Teleop23.3
End5.3
blue by 4.6
5142
#14
37.52.1
25.427.5
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End3.8
Second
1099
#29
17.30.0
17.217.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End3.7
blue by 7.1
429
#12
24.42.1
21.323.5
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End5.0
Third
2712
#37
9.50.0
12.212.1
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End2.0
blue by 12.7
1991
#26
22.12.1
16.818.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned