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Red45
356618.7
888926.8
1059217.2
Blue83
574618.2
17643.3
462818.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61750501001504583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+32
Endgame+34
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +22
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
32Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
2Foul points6
45Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8889
#23
26.81.3
26.425.1
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End0.8
blue by 16.4
176
#8
43.31.6
34.836.3
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End5.2
Second
3566
#20
18.70.8
13.612.9
Auto2.5
Teleop14.7
End1.5
red by 0.2
4628
#17
18.51.6
14.015.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End0.4
Third
17.21.3
14.613.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 1.0
5746
#22
18.21.6
14.215.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed