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Red74
786930.6
1024518.0
457210.7
Blue49
365418.1
585612.4
107330.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645602040801007449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +1
7Coral scored#5
26Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
32Total teleop33
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
24Foul points6
74Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7869
#33
30.60.6
19.218.7
Auto2.0
Teleop29.0
End-0.4
blue by 0.2
30.80.6
13.112.5
Auto4.4
Teleop18.8
End7.6
Second
18.00.6
20.119.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.0
Level
3654
#27
18.10.6
19.719.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.7
Third
4572
#31
10.70.6
15.715.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 1.7
5856
#34
12.40.6
15.314.7
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsEarned