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Red152
216831.2
318225.4
634624.6
Blue34
919313.2
71617.0
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9145020608010012014015234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
+118Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +30
10Coral scored#3
36Coral points12
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
56Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +118
86Foul points0
152Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#19
31.21.6
29.928.3
Auto4.7
Teleop25.6
End0.9
red by 14.2
716
#30
17.01.4
20.218.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Second
3182
#21
25.41.6
21.720.1
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End6.6
red by 12.3
9193
#32
13.21.4
12.511.2
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End4.0
Third
6346
#13
24.61.6
23.121.5
Auto4.6
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 15.0
9.71.4
8.16.7
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed