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Red109
99929.0
15535.3
22830.2
Blue40
23038.4
37197.7
206434.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917520406010012014010940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
55Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
24Foul points6
109Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#7
35.30.4
26.727.1
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
blue by 3.1
230
#11
38.43.8
33.529.7
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End3.3
Second
228
#6
30.20.4
24.324.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End7.7
blue by 4.4
34.53.8
21.517.7
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End6.8
Third
999
#4
29.00.4
27.027.4
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End3.7
red by 21.3
3719
#36
7.73.8
10.76.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned