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Red92
870923.0
83935.7
17725.5
Blue42
1013317.6
1059217.2
574618.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions963502060801201401609242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+48Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
12Coral scored#6
43Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
61Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
2Foul points0
92Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#9
35.70.2
26.026.2
Auto5.3
Teleop23.8
End6.6
red by 17.5
5746
#22
18.20.6
15.815.2
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End1.1
Second
177
#16
25.50.2
29.029.2
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
red by 7.9
17.60.6
9.38.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Third
8709
#28
23.00.2
25.325.5
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End1.2
red by 5.8
17.20.6
13.312.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed