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Red82
99929.0
216831.2
37197.7
Blue73
356618.7
1013317.6
634624.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774902040601001201408273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
15Coral scored#10
55Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
67Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
82Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#19
31.21.3
28.329.6
Auto4.7
Teleop25.6
End0.9
red by 6.6
6346
#13
24.62.1
21.523.6
Auto4.6
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
999
#4
29.01.3
27.428.7
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End3.7
red by 10.3
3566
#20
18.71.3
12.914.1
Auto2.5
Teleop14.7
End1.5
Third
3719
#36
7.71.3
6.98.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.8
blue by 9.9
17.62.1
8.710.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed