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Red114
585612.4
83935.7
23734.9
Blue107
199122.1
870923.0
786930.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82704060100120114107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+7Teleop
+15Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points50
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
18Processor points18
20Net points16
38Algae points34
81Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points8
114Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#9
35.72.5
26.228.7
Auto5.3
Teleop23.8
End6.6
red by 5.1
7869
#33
30.61.4
18.219.6
Auto2.0
Teleop29.0
End-0.4
Second
237
#5
34.92.5
29.532.0
Auto6.8
Teleop25.1
End2.9
red by 11.9
8709
#28
23.01.4
25.526.9
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End1.2
Third
5856
#34
12.42.5
14.717.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End0.7
blue by 9.7
1991
#26
22.11.4
18.920.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed