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Red77
22830.2
888926.8
363418.8
Blue126
15535.3
740765.2
919313.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731002040608012014077126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+49
Endgame+61
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave0
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points37
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +24
11Coral scored#16
39Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
49Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#9
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
12Foul points0
77Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#6
30.21.3
27.726.5
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End7.7
blue by 35.0
65.23.5
52.555.9
Auto20.4
Teleop34.9
End10.0
Second
8889
#23
26.81.3
24.723.4
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End0.8
blue by 8.4
155
#7
35.33.5
28.231.7
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
Third
3634
#10
18.81.3
17.916.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End3.7
red by 5.6
9193
#32
13.23.5
8.812.3
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned