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Red78
17725.5
71617.0
808533.0
Blue30
457210.7
206434.5
109917.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions936302040801001201407830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+38Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
11Coral scored#5
38Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
52Total teleop17
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
78Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8085
#15
33.00.0
26.726.7
Auto4.3
Teleop23.3
End5.3
blue by 1.6
34.53.1
21.218.1
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End6.8
Second
177
#16
25.50.0
29.229.2
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
red by 8.2
1099
#29
17.33.1
16.713.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End3.7
Third
716
#30
17.00.0
22.522.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
red by 6.3
4572
#31
10.73.1
19.616.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed