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Red109
23038.4
216831.2
107330.8
Blue48
462818.5
318225.4
1013317.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions874902040608010012014010948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+51Teleop
+63Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +47
16Coral scored#6
57Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
77Total teleop30
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points2
109Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#11
38.42.8
27.530.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End3.3
red by 13.0
3182
#21
25.41.4
23.121.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End6.6
Second
2168
#19
31.22.8
29.632.4
Auto4.7
Teleop25.6
End0.9
red by 12.7
4628
#17
18.51.4
13.211.8
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End0.4
Third
30.82.6
16.018.6
Auto4.4
Teleop18.8
End7.6
red by 13.2
17.61.4
10.89.4
Auto3.6
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed