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Red64
634624.6
514237.5
37197.7
Blue68
365418.1
870923.0
356618.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7468204060801001206468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points33
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
44Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points10
64Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5142
#14
37.50.2
30.530.7
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End3.8
red by 14.5
8709
#28
23.00.0
26.926.9
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End1.2
Second
6346
#13
24.60.2
23.623.8
Auto4.6
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 5.9
3566
#20
18.70.0
14.114.1
Auto2.5
Teleop14.7
End1.5
Third
3719
#36
7.70.2
8.18.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.8
blue by 10.4
3654
#27
18.10.0
16.917.0
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed