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Red52
17643.3
585612.4
109917.3
Blue58
574618.2
99929.0
27129.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826020401001205258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
6Coral scored#6
23Coral points22
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
0Processor points0
12Net points8
12Algae points8
35Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points18
52Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#8
43.31.8
37.435.6
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End5.2
red by 14.3
999
#4
29.01.5
28.727.2
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End3.7
Second
1099
#29
17.31.8
13.711.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End3.7
blue by 0.9
5746
#22
18.21.5
15.213.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End1.1
Third
5856
#34
12.41.8
17.215.4
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End0.7
red by 2.9
2712
#37
9.51.5
9.98.4
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed