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Red112
83935.7
107330.8
1013317.6
Blue100
363418.8
71617.0
199122.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7574405060708090100110112100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +27
17Coral scored#13
61Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
83Total teleop56
Reef
9L4#4
3L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points18
112Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#9
35.73.3
30.333.6
Auto5.3
Teleop23.8
End6.6
red by 13.5
1991
#26
22.10.0
21.921.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Second
30.82.8
18.621.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.8
End7.6
red by 12.0
3634
#10
18.80.0
16.716.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End3.7
Third
17.63.3
9.412.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.7
End2.2
red by 0.6
716
#30
17.00.0
22.522.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned