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Red59
22830.2
634624.6
1059217.2
Blue54
318225.4
365418.1
42924.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72760501001502005954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+15Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +14
10Coral scored#4
35Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
39Total teleop25
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
59Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#6
30.20.6
26.525.9
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End7.7
red by 4.8
3182
#21
25.41.2
21.720.5
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End6.6
Second
6346
#13
24.60.6
23.823.2
Auto4.6
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 0.2
429
#12
24.41.2
25.924.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End5.0
Third
17.20.6
14.313.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 0.8
3654
#27
18.11.2
17.015.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned