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Red96
17643.3
216831.2
870923.0
Blue117
23038.4
888926.8
585612.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1137720406010014016096117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points23
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +2
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points48
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
0Processor points12
16Net points8
16Algae points20
66Total teleop68
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points20
96Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#8
43.30.2
35.635.4
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End5.2
red by 4.9
230
#11
38.42.1
30.332.4
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End3.3
Second
2168
#19
31.20.2
32.432.2
Auto4.7
Teleop25.6
End0.9
red by 4.4
8889
#23
26.82.1
23.425.5
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End0.8
Third
8709
#28
23.00.2
26.926.7
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End1.2
red by 10.6
5856
#34
12.42.1
15.417.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned