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Red73
1024518.0
99929.0
514237.5
Blue60
17725.5
786930.6
37197.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8463020401001201407360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
8Coral scored#8
29Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
39Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
6Foul points0
73Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5142
#14
37.50.8
30.729.9
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End3.8
red by 6.9
7869
#33
30.60.3
19.620.0
Auto2.0
Teleop29.0
End-0.4
Second
999
#4
29.00.8
27.226.4
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End3.7
red by 3.5
177
#16
25.50.3
29.229.5
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
Third
18.00.8
15.915.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.0
red by 10.4
3719
#36
7.70.3
8.38.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed