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Qual 372025 NE District Waterbury Event
Red41
23734.9
102669.7
27129.5
Blue111
15535.3
356618.7
574618.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5565020408010041111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +33
4Coral scored#12
14Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
24Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points34
41Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#5
34.90.9
32.0→31.1
Auto6.8
Teleop25.1
End2.9
blue by 0.4
155
#7
35.31.9
31.7→33.7
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
Second
10266
#35
9.70.9
8.9→7.9
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End3.7
blue by 9.0
3566
#20
18.71.2
14.1→15.3
Auto2.5
Teleop14.7
End1.5
Third
2712
#37
9.50.9
8.4→7.5
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End2.0
blue by 8.7
5746
#22
18.21.9
13.6→15.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed