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Red60
318225.4
1059217.2
808533.0
Blue100
634624.6
206434.5
83935.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629220408010012014016060100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +40
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points50
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
34Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
60Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8085
#15
33.00.0
25.725.7
Auto4.3
Teleop23.3
End5.3
blue by 2.7
839
#9
35.72.5
33.636.1
Auto5.3
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Second
3182
#21
25.40.0
20.520.5
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End6.6
blue by 9.1
34.52.5
20.523.0
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End6.8
Third
17.20.0
13.713.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 7.4
6346
#13
24.62.5
23.225.7
Auto4.6
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned