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Red82
199122.1
457210.7
888926.8
Blue91
365418.1
216831.2
71617.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768702040601001201401608291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
15Coral scored#14
54Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
68Total teleop74
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points6
82Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8889
#23
26.81.1
25.524.4
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End0.8
blue by 4.4
2168
#19
31.21.4
32.230.8
Auto4.7
Teleop25.6
End0.9
Second
1991
#26
22.11.1
21.920.8
Auto4.1
Teleop15.3
End2.7
red by 4.1
3654
#27
18.11.4
15.814.4
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.7
Third
4572
#31
10.71.1
15.614.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 6.3
716
#30
17.01.4
22.521.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed