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Red96
1013317.6
23038.4
870923.0
Blue125
37197.7
740765.2
107330.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8010220406012014016018096125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+9
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points24
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +5
14Coral scored#13
49Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
67Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#6
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
96Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#11
38.40.7
32.433.1
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End3.3
blue by 26.8
65.22.4
58.360.7
Auto20.4
Teleop34.9
End10.0
Second
8709
#28
23.00.7
26.727.4
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End1.2
blue by 7.8
30.81.9
21.423.3
Auto4.4
Teleop18.8
End7.6
Third
17.60.7
12.713.4
Auto3.6
Teleop11.7
End2.2
red by 9.9
3719
#36
7.72.4
8.611.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned