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Red49
42924.4
574618.2
363418.8
Blue50
585612.4
27129.5
514237.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62633040507080901004950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +17
4Coral scored#7
15Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
23Total teleop40
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
49Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
429
#12
24.40.9
24.723.8
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End5.0
blue by 13.1
5142
#14
37.50.5
29.929.4
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End3.8
Second
3634
#10
18.80.9
16.615.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End3.7
red by 6.4
5856
#34
12.40.5
17.517.0
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Third
5746
#22
18.20.9
15.614.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End1.1
red by 8.7
2712
#37
9.50.5
7.56.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed