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Red102
99929.0
107330.8
17643.3
Blue74
216831.2
363418.8
1059217.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996505015010274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +22
14Coral scored#9
49Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
63Total teleop41
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
2Foul points2
102Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#8
43.31.5
35.637.1
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End5.2
red by 12.1
2168
#19
31.21.2
30.832.0
Auto4.7
Teleop25.6
End0.9
Second
30.81.2
23.324.5
Auto4.4
Teleop18.8
End7.6
red by 12.0
3634
#10
18.81.2
15.817.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End3.7
Third
999
#4
29.01.5
26.227.8
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End3.7
red by 11.8
17.21.2
13.714.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned