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Red91
22830.2
109917.3
17725.5
Blue53
83935.7
462818.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736802003004005006009153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +21
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
47Total teleop26
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
12Foul points0
91Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#6
30.21.1
26.027.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End7.7
blue by 5.5
839
#9
35.71.0
36.135.1
Auto5.3
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Second
177
#16
25.51.1
28.529.5
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
red by 7.0
4628
#17
18.51.0
15.714.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End0.4
Third
1099
#29
17.31.1
11.712.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End3.7
red by 7.7
9.71.0
7.76.7
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned