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Red82
363418.8
83935.7
15535.3
Blue89
107330.8
1024518.0
634624.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9869204060801201401608289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#10
31Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
59Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
82Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#9
35.70.4
35.134.7
Auto5.3
Teleop23.8
End6.6
red by 4.9
30.81.6
24.526.2
Auto4.4
Teleop18.8
End7.6
Second
155
#7
35.30.4
34.133.7
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
red by 10.6
6346
#13
24.62.1
26.128.2
Auto4.6
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Third
3634
#10
18.80.4
17.016.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End3.7
red by 0.8
18.02.1
16.318.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned