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Red76
206434.5
356618.7
99929.0
Blue58
585612.4
318225.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7639020601001201407658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +32
7Coral scored#4
26Coral points14
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
50Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points18
76Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.6
25.526.1
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End6.8
red by 9.1
3182
#21
25.40.2
22.622.4
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End6.6
Second
999
#4
29.00.6
27.828.4
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End3.7
red by 16.6
5856
#34
12.40.2
12.512.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Third
3566
#20
18.70.4
16.717.1
Auto2.5
Teleop14.7
End1.5
red by 9.0
9.70.2
6.76.6
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned