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Red120
786930.6
17643.3
1059217.2
Blue93
1013317.6
42924.4
808533.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868005010015020012093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+37Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
97Total teleop67
Reef
10L4#7
4L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
120Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#8
43.33.7
37.140.8
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End5.2
red by 10.3
8085
#15
33.01.7
28.330.0
Auto4.3
Teleop23.3
End5.3
Second
7869
#33
30.63.7
24.628.3
Auto2.0
Teleop29.0
End-0.4
red by 6.2
429
#12
24.41.8
26.928.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End5.0
Third
17.23.4
14.918.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 0.4
17.61.7
12.714.4
Auto3.6
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned