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Red72
462818.5
71617.0
514237.5
Blue86
1024518.0
363418.8
23038.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728102040601001201407286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points26
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
52Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
72Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5142
#14
37.50.7
30.831.5
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End3.8
blue by 0.9
230
#11
38.41.4
34.936.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End3.3
Second
4628
#17
18.50.7
16.116.8
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End0.4
blue by 0.3
3634
#10
18.81.4
16.618.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End3.7
Third
716
#30
17.00.7
16.917.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
blue by 1.1
18.01.4
18.419.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsMissed