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Red82
808533.0
356618.7
Blue77
457210.7
1013317.6
22830.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655902040801001201401608277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+13Teleop
+11Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
59Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points6
82Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8085
#15
33.01.7
30.031.7
Auto4.3
Teleop23.3
End5.3
red by 2.8
228
#6
30.21.3
27.628.9
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End7.7
Second
3566
#20
18.71.4
17.118.5
Auto2.5
Teleop14.7
End1.5
red by 1.1
17.61.3
14.415.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Third
9.71.7
9.210.9
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End3.7
blue by 1.0
4572
#31
10.71.3
7.08.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned