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Red124
109917.3
318225.4
23038.4
Blue78
37197.7
199122.1
1024518.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9061020408010012014016012478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+36Teleop
+44Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points9
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
18Coral scored#8
64Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
74Total teleop52
Reef
10L4#3
7L3#4
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
10Foul points8
124Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#11
38.42.0
36.338.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End3.3
red by 16.3
1991
#26
22.10.1
22.722.6
Auto4.1
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Second
3182
#21
25.42.0
22.924.8
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End6.6
red by 7.4
18.00.1
19.819.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.0
Third
1099
#29
17.32.0
12.214.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End3.7
red by 9.6
3719
#36
7.70.1
7.77.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed