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Qual 672025 NE District Waterbury Event
Red91
83935.7
919313.2
99929.0
Blue128
206434.5
17643.3
365418.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8489607010011012013091128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+29
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
12Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +12
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
6Processor points12
12Net points24
18Algae points36
63Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
91Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#9
35.71.1
37.7→38.8
Auto5.3
Teleop23.8
End6.6
blue by 7.6
176
#8
43.33.6
43.8→47.4
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End5.2
Second
999
#4
29.01.1
28.8→29.9
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End3.7
blue by 5.6
2064
#2
34.53.6
26.7→30.3
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End6.8
Third
9193
#32
13.21.1
10.7→11.8
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End4.0
blue by 4.9
3654
#27
18.13.6
13.1→16.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned