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Red80
15535.3
199122.1
585612.4
Blue62
634624.6
17643.3
17725.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79125501001502008062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +19
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
58Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
2Foul points0
80Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#7
35.30.1
35.335.2
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
blue by 8.0
176
#8
43.33.8
47.443.6
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End5.2
Second
1991
#26
22.10.1
22.622.5
Auto4.1
Teleop15.3
End2.7
blue by 3.3
177
#16
25.53.8
29.926.1
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
Third
5856
#34
12.40.1
12.512.4
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End0.7
blue by 12.2
6346
#13
24.63.8
28.524.6
Auto4.6
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed