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Red123
17643.3
740765.2
199122.1
Blue81
42924.4
786930.6
216831.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1571015020012381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
0Leave3
9Coral scored#2
44Coral points12
44Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +1
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
59Total teleop60
Reef
10L4#5
4L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points2
123Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.3
65.565.2
Auto20.4
Teleop34.9
End10.0
red by 34.0
2168
#19
31.20.3
32.632.3
Auto4.7
Teleop25.6
End0.9
Second
176
#8
43.30.3
43.643.3
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End5.2
red by 12.7
7869
#33
30.60.3
31.931.7
Auto2.0
Teleop29.0
End-0.4
Third
1991
#26
22.10.3
22.522.1
Auto4.1
Teleop15.3
End2.7
blue by 2.3
429
#12
24.40.3
25.825.5
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End5.0