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Red99
1024518.0
23734.9
740765.2
Blue69
888926.8
574618.2
83935.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1047402040601201401609969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+24Teleop
+32Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +10
11Coral scored#10
41Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
59Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points2
99Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.21.3
44.245.6
Auto20.4
Teleop34.9
End10.0
red by 29.5
839
#9
35.70.1
26.026.0
Auto5.3
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Second
237
#5
34.91.3
24.225.5
Auto6.8
Teleop25.1
End2.9
red by 8.1
8889
#23
26.80.1
26.326.4
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End0.8
Third
18.01.3
18.820.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.0
blue by 0.1
5746
#22
18.20.1
14.214.2
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed