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Red86
514237.5
786930.6
216831.2
Blue93
17725.5
15535.3
206434.5
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84890501001502008693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+15Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +22
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
65Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
10Foul points8
86Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5142
#14
37.50.3
25.725.4
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End3.8
red by 2.2
155
#7
35.30.3
26.326.7
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
Second
2168
#19
31.20.3
30.229.9
Auto4.7
Teleop25.6
End0.9
blue by 3.3
34.50.3
21.221.5
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End6.8
Third
7869
#33
30.60.3
16.716.4
Auto2.0
Teleop29.0
End-0.4
red by 5.1
177
#16
25.50.3
29.129.4
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned